A recent analytical report issued by the British Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) affirmed that the swift military and strategic gains achieved by Sana’a forces along the Red Sea coast and around the Bab Al-Mandeb Strait have created a dramatic shift that has redrawn the equations of influence and the balance of power in the region, and cemented the inability of traditional security systems and regional and international guardianship alliances to confront independent Yemeni action.Follow-ups – Al-Khabar Al-Yemeni:Researcher Dr. Burcu Ozcelik explained in the report issued by the British institute that Sana’a forces managed within a few days to achieve decisive gains by taking full control of the Al-Mokha and Dhubab districts and the strategically important islands around the Bab Al-Mandeb Strait, simultaneously with directing missile and drone strikes targeting sensitive energy infrastructure deep inside Saudi Arabia, including targets in the capital, Riyadh, and the Aramco facility in Yanbu, as well as targeting the (East-West) oil pipeline.The report indicated that these qualitative operations imposed a strong deterrence equation that placed navigation movement and global energy markets before two interconnected maritime crises in the most important waterways, clearly exposing the failure of massive Saudi investments in building and training its loyal military formations.In a related context, the report revealed the refusal of the Donald Trump administration to be drawn into a large-scale confrontation to stop Sana’a’s advance under the slogans of “burden-sharing” and “ending forever wars,” contenting itself with providing limited intelligence consultations and tying Riyadh to long-range arms deals such as F-35 aircraft, which caused great disappointment among the Saudi leadership.The events also proved the failure of the “Mecca Joint Defense Agreement” signed between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan in its first practical test, as Ankara, Islamabad, and Cairo refused to intervene militarily in Yemen for fear of retaliation, and Pakistan’s diplomatic statements turned into a political pressure card following the firm and explicit warnings issued by Sana’a about directing harsh strikes at any party that intervenes.On the Gulf and regional level, the report showed the depth of disagreements and fissures between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi and the absence of any field coordination to confront the Yemeni advance, in contrast to Zionist efforts to provide intelligence and operational support to Saudi Arabia through the mediation of US Central Command (CENTCOM), benefiting from the surveillance networks and infrastructure of the UAE-loyal Transitional Council in the south, with the aim of marketing the military capabilities of the Israeli enemy and integrating them into a regional security structure.The British report concluded that the Saudi Crown Prince now faces complex and critical choices. The option of initiating counter-attacks would expose Saudi forces to further field losses and cement the Yemeni conquest, while Riyadh has no choice but to bide its time and resort to diplomacy to protect what remains of fragile lines, after the Yemeni Armed Forces imposed a new strategic reality that redraws the map of influence in the region away from the ambitions of hegemony and external guardianship.
The British Royal Institute: Sana’a’s Gains on the Coast and Bab Al-Mandeb Proved the Impotence of Traditional Security Systems and Guardianship Alliances first appeared on الخبر اليمني.
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